UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:15 PDT

women East Carolina 1
  
East Carolina         
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 89.4435

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Queens Atlantic Sun ( 3-12, 85.6) 14- 4 214 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (10- 8, 88.1) 8-12 221 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 89.7) 12- 9 225 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 94.5) 10-18 228 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 86.6) 15- 7 308 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 88.8) 9-16 314 A James Madison AAC (14- 7, 94.9) 10-16 321 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 92.0) 8- 7 328 A North Carolina ACC (18- 1, 99.9) 3-23 331 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 92.5) 10-14 404 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 90.3) 13-15 408 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 87.2) 16- 9 411 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 84.9) 8- 7 415 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 88.2) 14-13 418 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 93.0) 4-17 425 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 86.9) 21-10 430 N James Madison AAC (14- 7, 94.9) 7- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Queens                 14- 4      10     4           0.61
   214 H Coastal Carolina        8-12      -4     2    --    -5.87
   221 H Elon                   12- 9       3     0    +      2.71
   225 A Duke                   10-18      -8    -6           0.00
   228 H San Diego State        15- 7       8     3           1.59
   308 A Campbell                9-16      -7     0    --    -5.11
   314 A James Madison          10-16      -6    -6           0.00
   321 H Temple                  8- 7       1    -2    +      2.99
   328 A North Carolina          3-23     -20   -11           0.00
   331 A Virginia Tech          10-14      -4    -4          -0.40
   404 A Vanderbilt             13-15      -2    -1          -0.59
   408 A William & Mary         16- 9       7     2    +      3.29
   411 H Old Dominion            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00
   415 A High Point             14-13       1     1           0.37
   418 A South Florida           4-17     -13    -4          -0.83
   425 H UNC-Charlotte          21-10      11     3           1.91
   430 N James Madison           7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Coastal Carolina        8-12      -4     2    --    -5.87
   308 A Campbell                9-16      -7     0    --    -5.11
   411 H Old Dominion            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Elon                   12- 9       3     0    +      2.71
   321 H Temple                  8- 7       1    -2    +      2.99
   408 A William & Mary         16- 9       7     2    +      3.29
   430 N James Madison           7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.00

East Carolina PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Albany Albany   Albany
American East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Arizona State Arizona State tied -  1- 0 Arizona State
Army Army   Army
Austin Peay East Carolina East Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Binghamton East Carolina   East Carolina
Boston College Boston College tied -  0- 2 Boston College
Boston University Boston University   Boston University
Brown Brown tied -  0- 1 Brown
Bryant Bryant   Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell   Bucknell
Butler East Carolina   East Carolina
California East Carolina tied -  1- 3 East Carolina
Campbell Campbell Campbell  
Canisius East Carolina   East Carolina
Central Connecticut East Carolina   East Carolina
Central Michigan East Carolina   East Carolina
Cincinnati East Carolina tied -  1- 1 East Carolina
Clemson Clemson Clemson   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina  
Colgate East Carolina   East Carolina
Colorado Colorado tied -  1- 0 Colorado
Columbia East Carolina tied -  1- 0 East Carolina
Connecticut Connecticut tied -  0- 1 Connecticut
Cornell Cornell Cornell   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson Davidson   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Delaware Delaware tied -  2- 1 Delaware
Delaware State East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Denver Denver Denver   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Detroit Mercy East Carolina   East Carolina
Drexel East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Duke Duke Duke  
Duquesne East Carolina   East Carolina
Eastern Michigan East Carolina tied -  0- 1 East Carolina
Elon East Carolina East Carolina  
Fairfield Fairfield   Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Florida Florida Florida   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Florida State East Carolina tied -  0- 3 East Carolina
Furman East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Gardner Webb East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 0- 4
George Mason East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
George Washington East Carolina East Carolina   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Georgetown Georgetown tied -  0- 1 Georgetown
Harvard Harvard Harvard   1- 0 vs 0- 1
High Point East Carolina East Carolina  
Hofstra Hofstra Hofstra   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Howard (DC) East Carolina   East Carolina
Iona East Carolina   East Carolina
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
James Madison James Madison James Madison  
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kennesaw State East Carolina tied -  1- 1 East Carolina
Kent State East Carolina tied -  1- 0 East Carolina
La Salle East Carolina   East Carolina
Lafayette East Carolina   East Carolina
Le Moyne East Carolina   East Carolina
Lehigh East Carolina   East Carolina
Liberty Liberty Liberty   3- 2 vs 2- 3
Lindenwood East Carolina tied -  1- 2 East Carolina
LIU East Carolina   East Carolina
Longwood East Carolina East Carolina   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Louisville Louisville Louisville   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD)   Loyola (MD)
Manhattan East Carolina   East Carolina
Marist East Carolina   East Carolina
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland Maryland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Massachusetts Massachusetts   Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mercer Mercer tied -  1- 3 Mercer
Mercyhurst East Carolina   East Carolina
Merrimack East Carolina   East Carolina
Michigan Michigan Michigan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Monmouth (NJ) East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Mount St Marys East Carolina   East Carolina
Navy Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 1- 1
New Hampshire East Carolina   East Carolina
New Haven East Carolina   East Carolina
Niagara East Carolina tied -  0- 1 East Carolina
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina  
Northwestern Northwestern Northwestern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Old Dominion East Carolina East Carolina  
Oregon East Carolina tied -  1- 0 East Carolina
Penn East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Penn State Penn State tied -  1- 0 Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Presbyterian East Carolina East Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Queens East Carolina East Carolina  
Quinnipiac East Carolina   East Carolina
Radford East Carolina East Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Rhode Island East Carolina   East Carolina
Richmond Richmond Richmond   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Rider East Carolina East Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Robert Morris East Carolina   East Carolina
Rutgers Rutgers tied -  2- 0 Rutgers
Sacred Heart East Carolina tied -  0- 1 East Carolina
San Diego State East Carolina East Carolina  
Siena East Carolina   East Carolina
South Florida South Florida South Florida  
Southern California Southern California tied -  1- 0 Southern California
St Bonaventure East Carolina   East Carolina
St Josephs (PA) East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Stanford Stanford Stanford   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Stetson East Carolina East Carolina   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Stonehill East Carolina   East Carolina
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Temple East Carolina East Carolina  
Towson Towson tied -  3- 1 Towson
UC Davis UC Davis tied -  1- 0 UC Davis
UMBC East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
UNC-Charlotte East Carolina East Carolina  
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt  
VCU East Carolina East Carolina   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Vermont Vermont tied -  1- 0 Vermont
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia Virginia   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Virginia Tech  
Wagner East Carolina   East Carolina
William & Mary East Carolina East Carolina  
Winthrop East Carolina East Carolina   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Wofford East Carolina East Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Xavier East Carolina East Carolina   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Yale Yale   Yale
Youngstown State East Carolina East Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 73


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.28

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Queens          ( 3-12, 85.6)    14- 4      -14.28      11.79      -0.57         1.02            11.40
   0 H Coastal Caroli  (10- 8, 88.1)     8-12      -11.76      14.30      -0.57         1.02           -12.53
   0 H Elon            ( 7-10, 89.7)    12- 9      -10.18      15.88      -0.57         1.02            15.56
   0 A Duke            ( 9- 8, 94.5)    10-18       -5.43      20.64       0.57         1.02            -4.94
   0 H San Diego Stat  ( 3-13, 86.6)    15- 7      -13.30      12.77      -0.57         1.02            12.40
   0 A Campbell        (11- 6, 88.8)     9-16      -11.14      14.92       0.57         1.02           -10.74
   0 A James Madison   (14- 7, 94.9)    10-16       -5.04      21.02       0.57         1.02            -4.55
   0 H Temple          (12- 5, 92.0)     8- 7       -7.90      18.16      -0.57         1.02            17.88
   0 A North Carolina  (18- 1, 99.9)     3-23       -0.00      26.06       0.57         1.02            -0.58
   0 A Virginia Tech   ( 9- 8, 92.5)    10-14       -7.42      18.64       0.57         1.02            -6.96
   0 A Vanderbilt      ( 8- 9, 90.3)    13-15       -9.61      16.45       0.57         1.02            -9.19
   0 A William & Mary  ( 7- 9, 87.2)    16- 9      -12.73      13.33       0.57         1.02            14.13
   0 H Old Dominion    ( 5-12, 84.9)     8- 7      -14.99      11.07      -0.57         1.02            10.67
   0 A High Point      ( 8-10, 88.2)    14-13      -11.65      14.41       0.57         1.02            15.22
   0 A South Florida   (12- 5, 93.0)     4-17       -6.86      19.20       0.57         1.02            -6.39
   0 H UNC-Charlotte   ( 6- 9, 86.9)    21-10      -12.97      13.09      -0.57         1.02            12.72
   0 N James Madison   (14- 7, 94.9)     7- 9       -5.04      21.02      -0.00         1.02            -5.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        48.98

winning pts = 109.9863 losing points = -61.0028

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------